(02-24-22) Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 7.0 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 1), according to the “second” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 2.3 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the “advance” estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was 6.9 percent. The updated estimates primarily reflected upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment, state and local government spending, and residential fixed investment that were partly offset by downward revisions to personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and exports (refer to “Updates to GDP”).The increase in real GDP primarily reflected increases in private inventory investment, exports, PCE, and nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by decreases in both federal and state and local government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased (table 2). The increase in private inventory investment was led by retail and wholesale trade industries. Within retail, inventory investment by motor vehicle dealers was the leading contributor. The increase in exports reflected increases in both goods and services. The increase in exports of goods was widespread, and the leading contributors were consumer goods, foods, feeds, and beverages, as well as industrial supplies and materials. The increase in exports of services was led by travel. The increase in PCE primarily reflected an increase in services, led by health care, financial services and insurance, and transportation. The increase in nonresidential fixed investment primarily reflected an increase in intellectual property products that was partly offset by a decrease in structures. The decrease in federal government spending primarily reflected a decrease in defense spending on intermediate goods and services. The decrease in state and local government spending reflected a decrease in gross investment (led by new educational structures). The increase in imports primarily reflected an increase in goods (led by non-food and non-automotive consumer goods, as well as capital goods). Real GDP accelerated in the fourth quarter, increasing 7.0 percent after increasing 2.3 percent in the third quarter. The acceleration in real GDP primarily reflected upturns in exports and residential investment, and accelerations in private inventory investment and consumer spending, that were partly offset by a downturn in state and local government spending. Imports accelerated. Current dollar GDP increased 14.6 percent at an annual rate, or $806.2 billion, in the fourth quarter to a level of $24.01 trillion. In the third quarter, GDP increased 8.4 percent, or $461.3 billion (table 1 and table 3). More information on the source data that underlie the estimates is available in the “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file. The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 7.0 percent in the fourth quarter, an upward revision of 0.1 percentage point (table 4). The PCE price index increased 6.3 percent, a downward revision of 0.2 percentage point. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 5.0 percent, an upward revision of 0.1 percentage point.
Gross Domestic Product – 4th quarter (Second Estimate)(02-24-22)
- Economic Monthly Summaries, Gross Domestic Product
- Published on
Pipe Exchange
14025 West Road
Suite 100
Houston, TX 77041
- Phone: 713.934.9480
- Fax: 713.934.9490
- Email: sales@pipexch.com
