Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.6 percent in the second quarter of 2022 (table 1), according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 1.6 percent (same as previously published). The “third” estimate of GDP released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the “second” estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the decrease in real GDP was also 0.6 percent. The update primarily reflected an upward revision to consumer spending that was offset by a downward revision to exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised down (refer to “Updates to GDP”).The decrease in real GDP reflected decreases in private inventory investment, residential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by increases in exports and consumer spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. The decrease in private inventory investment was led by a decrease in retail trade (mainly “other” general merchandise stores). The decrease in residential fixed investment was led by a decrease in “other” structures (specifically real estate brokers’ commissions). The decrease in federal government spending reflected a decrease in nondefense spending that was partly offset by an increase in defense spending. The decrease in nondefense spending reflected the sale of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which results in a corresponding decrease in consumption expenditures. Because the oil sold by the government enters private inventories, there is no direct net effect on GDP. The decrease in state and local government spending was led by a decrease in investment in structures. The increase in imports reflected an increase in services (led by travel). The increase in exports reflected increases in both goods (led by industrial supplies and materials) and services (led by travel). The increase in consumer spending reflected an increase in services (led by food services and accommodations as well as “other” services) that was partly offset by a decrease in goods (led by food and beverages). Real GDP decreased less in the second quarter than in the first quarter, decreasing 0.6 percent after decreasing 1.6 percent. The smaller decrease reflected an upturn in exports, an acceleration in consumer spending, and a smaller decrease in federal government spending that were partly offset by a downturn in private inventory investment, a deceleration in nonresidential fixed investment, and a larger decrease in residential fixed investment. Imports decelerated. – Current‑dollar GDP increased 8.5 percent at an annual rate, or $508.0 billion, in the second quarter to a level of $25.25 trillion (tables 1 and 3), an upward revision in change1 of $11.9 billion from the previous estimate. More information on the source data that underlie the estimates is available in the “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file on BEA’s website. The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 8.5 percent in the second quarter (table 4), an upward revision of 0.1 percentage point from the previous estimate. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 7.3 percent, an upward revision of 0.2 percentage point. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 4.7 percent, an upward revision of 0.3 percentage point. Personal Income – Current-dollar personal income increased $305.7 billion in the second quarter, a downward revision in change of $47.4 billion from the previous estimate. The increase primarily reflected increases in compensation (led by private wages and salaries) and personal income receipts on assets. Disposable personal income increased $253.3 billion, or 5.7 percent, in the second quarter, a downward revision of 0.8 percentage point from the previous estimate. Real disposable personal income decreased 1.5 percent, a downward revision of 0.9 percentage point. Personal saving was $629.0 billion in the second quarter, a downward revision in change of $78.0 billion from the previous estimate. The personal saving rate personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.4 percent in the second quarter, a downward revision in change of 0.4 percentage point. Gross Domestic Income and Corporate Profits – Real gross domestic income (GDI) increased 0.1 percent in the second quarter, a downward revision of 1.3 percentage points from the previous estimate. The average of real GDP and real GDI, a supplemental measure of U.S. economic activity that equally weights GDP and GDI, decreased 0.3 percent in the second quarter, a downward revision of 0.7 percentage point. Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $131.6 billion in the second quarter, a downward revision in change of $43.5 billion from the previous estimate. Profits of domestic financial corporations decreased $46.0 billion in the second quarter, a downward revision in change of $21.8 billion. Profits of domestic nonfinancial corporations increased $152.2 billion, a downward revision in change of $21.7 billion. Rest-of-the-world profits increased $25.5 billion, a downward revision in change of $0.1 billion. In the second quarter, receipts increased $56.1 billion, and payments increased $30.6 billion. Updates to GDP – The 0.6 percent decrease in second-quarter real GDP was the same as previously estimated in the “second” estimate. Upward revisions to consumer spending, federal government spending, and nonresidential fixed investment were offset by downward revisions to exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised down. For more information, refer to the Technical Note. For information on updates to GDP, refer to the “Additional Information” section that follows.
Gross Domestic Product – 3rd quarter (Third Estimate) (09-29-22)
- Economic Monthly Summaries, Gross Domestic Product
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