Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.1 percent in the third quarter of 2024 (table 1), according to the “third” estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.0 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the “second” estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 2.8 percent. The update primarily reflected upward revisions to exports and consumer spending that were partly offset by a downward revision to private inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised up (refer to “Updates to GDP”).The increase in real GDP primarily reflected increases in consumer spending, exports, nonresidential fixed investment, and federal government spending. Imports increased. Compared to the second quarter, the acceleration in real GDP in the third quarter primarily reflected accelerations in exports, consumer spending, and federal government spending. These movements were partly offset by a downturn in private inventory investment and a larger decrease in residential fixed investment. Imports accelerated. Current dollar GDP increased 5.0 percent at an annual rate, or $358.2 billion, in the third quarter to a level of $29.37 trillion, an upward revision of $20.6 billion from the previous estimate. More information on the source data that underlie the estimates is available in the “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file on BEA’s website. The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.9 percent in the third quarter, the same as the previous estimate. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 1.5 percent, also the same as previously estimated. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 2.2 percent, an upward revision of 0.1 percentage point. Personal Income – Current-dollar personal income increased $191.7 billion in the third quarter, an upward revision of $15.8 billion from the previous estimate. The increase primarily reflected increases in compensation and personal current transfer receipts. Disposable personal income increased $141.5 billion, or 2.7 percent, in the third quarter, an upward revision of $18.6 billion from the previous estimate. Real disposable personal income increased 1.1 percent, an upward revision of 0.3 percentage point. Personal saving was $936.6 billion in the third quarter, an upward revision of $2.1 billion from the previous estimate. The personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 4.3 percent in the third quarter, the same as the previous estimate. Gross Domestic Income and Corporate Profits – Real gross domestic income (GDI) increased 2.1 percent in the third quarter, a downward revision of 0.1 percentage point from the previous estimate. The average of real GDP and real GDI, a supplemental measure of U.S. economic activity that equally weights GDP and GDI, increased 2.6 percent in the third quarter, an upward revision of 0.1 percentage point from the previous estimate. Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) decreased $15.0 billion in the third quarter, a downward revision of $4.9 billion from the previous estimate. Profits of domestic financial corporations increased $3.0 billion in the third quarter, an upward revision of $5.6 billion from the previous estimate. Profits of domestic nonfinancial corporations increased $24.9 billion, a downward revision of $5.9 billion. Rest-of-the-world profits decreased $42.9 billion, a downward revision of $4.6 billion. Receipts decreased $61.5 billion, and payments decreased $18.7 billion. Updates to GDP – With the third estimate, upward revisions to exports and consumer spending were partly offset by a downward revision to private inventory investment. Imports were revised up. For more information, refer to the Technical Note. For information on updates to GDP, refer to the “Additional Information” section that follows.
Gross Domestic Product – 3rd quarter (Third Estimate) (12-19-24)
- Economic Monthly Summaries, Gross Domestic Product
- Published on
Pipe Exchange
14025 West Road
Suite 100
Houston, TX 77041
- Phone: 713.934.9480
- Fax: 713.934.9490
- Email: sales@pipexch.com