Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.1 percent in the second quarter of 2023 (table 1), according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 2.2 percent (revised). The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the “second” estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in GDP was also 2.1 percent. The update primarily reflected a downward revision to consumer spending that was partly offset by upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment, exports, and inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised down (refer to “Updates to GDP”). The increase in real GDP reflected increases in nonresidential fixed investment, consumer spending, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by a decrease in exports. Imports decreased. Compared to the first quarter, the deceleration in real GDP in the second quarter primarily reflected a deceleration in consumer spending, a downturn in exports, and a deceleration in federal government spending that were partly offset by an upturn in private inventory investment, an acceleration in nonresidential fixed investment, and a smaller decrease in residential investment. Imports turned down. Current dollar GDP increased 3.8 percent at an annual rate, or $249.4 billion, in the second quarter to a level of $27.06 trillion, a downward revision in change of $19.4 billion (tables 1 and 3). More information on the source data that underlie the estimates is available in the “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file. The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.4 percent in the second quarter, a downward revision of 0.3 percentage point (table 4). The PCE price index increased 2.5 percent, the same as in the previous estimate. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 3.7 percent, also unrevised. Personal Income – Current-dollar personal income increased $239.6 billion in the second quarter, an upward revision of $7.4 billion from the previous estimate. The increase in the second quarter primarily reflected increases in compensation (led by private wages and salaries), personal income receipts on assets (both personal dividend income and personal interest income), and personal current transfer receipts (led by government social benefits), and rental income of persons. Disposable personal income increased $296.5 billion, or 6.1 percent, in the second quarter, an upward revision of $12.1 billion from the previous estimate. Real disposable personal income increased 3.5 percent, an upward revision of 0.2 percentage point. Personal saving was $1.04 trillion in the second quarter, an upward revision in change of $40.5 billion from the previous estimate. The personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 5.2 percent, an upward revision of 0.7 percentage point. Gross Domestic Income and Corporate Profits – Real gross domestic income (GDI) increased 0.7 percent in the second quarter, an upward revision of 0.2 percentage point from the previous estimate. The average of real GDP and real GDI, a supplemental measure of U.S. economic activity that equally weights GDP and GDI, increased 1.4 percent in the second quarter, an upward revision of 0.1 percentage point. Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $6.9 billion in the second quarter, an upward revision of $17.5 billion from the previous estimate. Profits of domestic financial corporations decreased $54.2 billion in the second quarter, a downward revision of $6.3 billion from the previous estimate. Profits of domestic nonfinancial corporations increased $39.0 billion, an upward revision of $21.9 billion. Rest-of-the-world profits increased $22.1 billion, an upward revision of $1.9 billion. In the second quarter, receipts increased $25.8 billion, and payments increased $3.7 billion. Updates to GDP – With the third estimate, downward revisions to consumer spending and federal government spending were partly offset by upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment, exports, private inventory investment, and residential fixed investment. For more information, refer to the Technical Note. For information on updates to GDP, refer to the “Additional Information” section that follows.
Gross Domestic Product – 2nd quarter (Third Estimate) (09-28-23)
- Economic Monthly Summaries, Gross Domestic Product
- Published on
Pipe Exchange
14025 West Road
Suite 100
Houston, TX 77041
- Phone: 713.934.9480
- Fax: 713.934.9490
- Email: sales@pipexch.com